Fraser Paterson vs Gary Tapusoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record8-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
GriphouseTeamMMA Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fraser PatersonGary Tapusoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fraser Paterson70%
Gary Tapusoa 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 70% favorite over Gary Tapusoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1562), separated by just 2 points.
Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gary Tapusoa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.