Fraser Paterson vs Jake Rosholt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
GriphouseTeamTeam Takedown
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fraser PatersonJake Rosholt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fraser Paterson66%
Jake Rosholt 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 66% favorite over Jake Rosholt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1560), separated by just 4 points.
Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jake Rosholt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Rosholt 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.