Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Jhony Gregory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeamDaniel Oliveira Methodology

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Jhony GregoryNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonJhony Gregory
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (50%)
Submission
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson55%
Jhony Gregory 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 55% favorite over Jhony Gregory in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1562), separated by just 2 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jhony Gregory 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.