Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Kyle Bolt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Kyle BoltNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonKyle Bolt
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (50%)
Submission
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson60%
Kyle Bolt 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 60% favorite over Kyle Bolt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1560), separated by just 4 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kyle Bolt 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.