Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Nate Loughran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
GriphouseTeamNor-Cal Fighting Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Nate LoughranNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.09

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonNate Loughran
1550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (50%)
Submission
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson78%
Nate Loughran 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 78% favorite over Nate Loughran in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Loughran's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nate Loughran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nate Loughran 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.