Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Nick Klein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Klein
us

Nick Klein

“Blue Collar”

6-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
GriphouseTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Nick KleinNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.93

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonNick Klein
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (50%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson79%
Nick Klein 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 79% favorite over Nick Klein in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Klein's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Klein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Klein 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.