Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Oluwale Bamgbose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record6-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeamChute Boxe USA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Oluwale BamgboseNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonOluwale Bamgbose
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson78%
Oluwale Bamgbose 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 78% favorite over Oluwale Bamgbose in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oluwale Bamgbose's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Oluwale Bamgbose enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Oluwale Bamgbose 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.