Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Papy Abedi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Papy Abedi
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Papy Abedi

“Makambo”

10-4-0MiddleweightSC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Papy AbediNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.15
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonPapy Abedi
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson79%
Papy Abedi 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 79% favorite over Papy Abedi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Papy Abedi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Papy Abedi 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.