Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Ryan Janes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach76.50
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Ryan JanesNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.35
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonRyan Janes
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (50%)
Submission
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson66%
Ryan Janes 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 66% favorite over Ryan Janes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1559), separated by just 5 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ryan Janes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.