Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Scott Ventimiglia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record14-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeamWar Room MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Scott VentimigliaNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonScott Ventimiglia
155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (50%)
Submission
12 (86%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson72%
Scott Ventimiglia 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 72% favorite over Scott Ventimiglia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1562), separated by just 2 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Scott Ventimiglia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Scott Ventimiglia 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.