Combat Edge Intelligence

Fredson Paixao vs Jackson Glass

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAmbush Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fredson PaixaoNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Jackson GlassNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0.62
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
10%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.16
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fredson PaixaoJackson Glass
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (25%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson Glass82%
Fredson Paixao 18%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson Glass a 82% favorite over Fredson Paixao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1595), separated by just 2 points.

Fredson Paixao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jackson Glass enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Fredson Paixao finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jackson Glass 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.