Fredson Paixao vs Pablo Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1610
If they lose-15→ 1578
If they win+15→ 1620
If they lose-17→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fredson PaixaoPablo Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pablo Garza55%
Fredson Paixao 45%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Pablo Garza a 55% favorite over Fredson Paixao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1605), separated by just 12 points.
Fredson Paixao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fredson Paixao finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.