Fredy Serrano vs Pedro Nobre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'5"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fredy SerranoPedro Nobre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Nobre59%
Fredy Serrano 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Nobre a 59% favorite over Fredy Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fredy Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1581), separated by just 0 points.
Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fredy Serrano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.