Combat Edge Intelligence

Fredy Serrano vs Ryan Benoit

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Benoit
us

Ryan Benoit

“Baby Face”

10-8-0FlyweightUFC

1568Solid

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record10-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'5"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamJanjira Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fredy SerranoNow 1581
If they win+23→ 1604
If they lose-25→ 1556
Ryan BenoitNow 1568
If they win+17→ 1585
If they lose-15→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.58
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
27%
Strike accuracy
39%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
62%
Strike defense
58%
2.84
Takedown avg.
0.28
25%
Takedown accuracy
22%
85%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Fredy SerranoRyan Benoit
15501600201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Fredy Serrano53%
Ryan Benoit 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Fredy Serrano a 53% favorite over Ryan Benoit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1568), separated by just 13 points.

Ryan Benoit enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fredy Serrano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Benoit 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.