Combat Edge Intelligence

Fredy Serrano vs Yao Zhikui

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yao Zhikui
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Yao Zhikui

“The Conqueror”

5-5-0FlyweightCKF

1448Developing

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record5-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'7"
65,0"Reach64.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamTBD

What's at stake

Fredy Serrano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yao Zhikui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fredy SerranoNow 1581
If they win+15→ 1596
If they lose-33→ 1548
Yao ZhikuiNow 1448
If they win+33→ 1481
If they lose-15→ 1433

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.58
Sig. strikes / min
1.44
27%
Strike accuracy
22%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.82
62%
Strike defense
49%
2.84
Takedown avg.
0.66
25%
Takedown accuracy
17%
85%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fredy SerranoYao Zhikui
14501500155016002015201620172018

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (60%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Fredy Serrano61%
Yao Zhikui 39%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Fredy Serrano a 61% favorite over Yao Zhikui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Fredy Serrano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1581 to 1448, a 133-point edge.

Yao Zhikui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fredy Serrano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yao Zhikui 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.