Combat Edge Intelligence

Fábio Perpetua vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-Reach70"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fábio PerpetuaNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Melsik BaghdasaryanNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fábio PerpetuaMelsik Baghdasaryan
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Melsik Baghdasaryan77%
Fábio Perpetua 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melsik Baghdasaryan a 77% favorite over Fábio Perpetua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Fábio Perpetua enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fábio Perpetua finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Melsik Baghdasaryan 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.