Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabe Green vs Luiz Firmino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gabe Green
us

Gabe Green

“Gifted”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1660Good

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record20-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabe GreenNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Luiz FirminoNow 1659
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.28
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gabe GreenLuiz Firmino
16501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
7 (58%)
Submission
7 (35%)
1 (8%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabe Green63%
Luiz Firmino 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabe Green a 63% favorite over Luiz Firmino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1659), separated by just 1 points.

Luiz Firmino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabe Green finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Luiz Firmino 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.