Gabe Lemley
Elo1519AverageGabe Lemley vs Paulo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1519Average
Tale of the tape
13-9-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
Team
What's at stake
Gabe Lemley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Paulo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1533
If they lose-18→ 1501
If they win+28→ 1494
If they lose-20→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabe LemleyPaulo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabe Lemley55%
Paulo Santos 45%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabe Lemley a 55% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Gabe Lemley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1466, a 53-point edge.
Gabe Lemley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paulo Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabe Lemley finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.