Gabe Ruediger vs Paul Taylor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
PKGTeamTeam Supreme
What's at stake
Gabe Ruediger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-19→ 1573
If they win+19→ 1555
If they lose-13→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabe RuedigerPaul Taylor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Taylor62%
Gabe Ruediger 38%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Taylor a 62% favorite over Gabe Ruediger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabe Ruediger's way (42%).
Gabe Ruediger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1536, a 56-point edge.
Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabe Ruediger finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Paul Taylor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.