Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabe Ruediger vs Paul Taylor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Paul Taylor

Paul Taylor

“Relentless”

11-6-1LightweightUFC

1535Average

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
PKGTeamTeam Supreme

What's at stake

Gabe Ruediger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabe RuedigerNow 1592
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-19→ 1573
Paul TaylorNow 1535
If they win+19→ 1554
If they lose-13→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
31%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.47
41%
Strike defense
55%
2.04
Takedown avg.
0.27
11%
Takedown accuracy
25%
29%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Gabe RuedigerPaul Taylor
15501600165020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
13 (72%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabe Ruediger56%
Paul Taylor 44%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabe Ruediger a 56% favorite over Paul Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Gabe Ruediger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1535, a 57-point edge.

Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gabe Ruediger finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Paul Taylor 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.