Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabe Ruediger vs Takuya Shibamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
PKGTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1636 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabe RuedigerNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Takuya ShibamuraNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
31%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
2.04
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gabe RuedigerTakuya Shibamura
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
13 (72%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Takuya Shibamura71%
Gabe Ruediger 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Takuya Shibamura a 71% favorite over Gabe Ruediger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1594), separated by just 2 points.

Gabe Ruediger finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Takuya Shibamura 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.