Gable Steveson vs Greg Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
74"Reach80"
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamSkills Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gable StevesonGreg Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gable Steveson79%
Greg Hardy 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 79% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Greg Hardy 86%.
Greg Hardy carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.