Combat Edge Intelligence

Gable Steveson vs Joe Cason

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record9-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight223 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gable StevesonNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
Joe CasonNow 1602
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gable StevesonJoe Cason
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson84%
Joe Cason 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 84% favorite over Joe Cason in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1602), separated by just 3 points.

Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Cason 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.