Gable Steveson vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gable StevesonKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gable Steveson60%
Karl Williams 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 60% favorite over Karl Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1600), separated by just 5 points.
Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Karl Williams carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.