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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gable Steveson vs Kimo Leopoldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record10-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight235 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamFreelance· 1556 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gable StevesonNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Kimo LeopoldoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

16.29
Sig. strikes / min
1.46
72%
Strike accuracy
83%
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.10
61%
Strike defense
30%
0
Takedown avg.
4.39
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
4.39

Trajectory

Gable StevesonKimo Leopoldo
155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson57%
Kimo Leopoldo 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 57% favorite over Kimo Leopoldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1569), separated by just 2 points.

Kimo Leopoldo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kimo Leopoldo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.