Gable Steveson vs Marllon Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamCerrado MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gable StevesonMarllon Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gable Steveson53%
Marllon Santos 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 53% favorite over Marllon Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1570), separated by just 1 points.
Marllon Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.