Gable Steveson vs Raphael Pessoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
74"Reach78″
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gable StevesonRaphael Pessoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gable Steveson55%
Raphael Pessoa 45%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 55% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1565), separated by just 6 points.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.
Raphael Pessoa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.