Gabriel Bonfim vs Ian Machado Garry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record17-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
72″Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1822
If they lose-16→ 1790
If they win+16→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1799
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1775 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BonfimIan Machado Garry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Machado Garry51%
Gabriel Bonfim 49%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Machado Garry a 51% favorite over Gabriel Bonfim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1806 vs 1815), separated by just 9 points.
Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gabriel Bonfim finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ian Machado Garry 47%.
Gabriel Bonfim and Ian Machado Garry share 1 common opponent: Belal Muhammad.
Ian Machado Garry carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.