Gabriel Bonfim vs Khaos Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record16-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72″Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1624 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Gabriel Bonfim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Khaos Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1819
If they lose-21→ 1787
If they win+21→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BonfimKhaos Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Bonfim67%
Khaos Williams 33%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Bonfim a 67% favorite over Khaos Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Gabriel Bonfim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1705, a 103-point edge.
Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gabriel Bonfim finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Khaos Williams 63%.
Gabriel Bonfim and Khaos Williams share 1 common opponent: Randy Brown.
Khaos Williams carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.