Gabriel Bonfim vs Mounir Lazzez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
72″Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamTeam Nogueira Dubai
What's at stake
Gabriel Bonfim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mounir Lazzez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1818
If they lose-23→ 1786
If they win+23→ 1680
If they lose-9→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BonfimMounir Lazzez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Bonfim92%
Mounir Lazzez 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Bonfim a 92% favorite over Mounir Lazzez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Gabriel Bonfim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1657, a 152-point edge.
Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gabriel Bonfim finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mounir Lazzez 73%.
Gabriel Bonfim and Mounir Lazzez share 1 common opponent: Ange Loosa.
Mounir Lazzez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.