Gabriel Bonfim vs Nicolas Dalby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record24-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72″Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
Gabriel Bonfim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Nicolas Dalby carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1821
If they lose-20→ 1789
If they win+15→ 1744
If they lose-9→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BonfimNicolas Dalby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Bonfim91%
Nicolas Dalby 9%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Bonfim a 91% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Gabriel Bonfim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1729, a 80-point edge.
Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gabriel Bonfim finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.
Gabriel Bonfim and Nicolas Dalby share 1 common opponent: Randy Brown.
Nicolas Dalby carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.