Gabriel Braga vs Losene Keita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record17-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1732
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BragaLosene Keita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Braga58%
Losene Keita 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Braga a 58% favorite over Losene Keita in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Losene Keita's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1754), separated by just 6 points.
Gabriel Braga finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Losene Keita 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.