Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Braga vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tropa ThaiTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel BragaNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
92%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Gabriel BragaShane Burgos
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (31%)
7 (50%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriel Braga66%
Shane Burgos 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Braga a 66% favorite over Shane Burgos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Burgos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Gabriel Braga finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Shane Burgos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.