Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Gonzaga vs Javad Mahjoub

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-12-0Record5-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach-
264 lbsWeight254 lbs
Team LinkTeamAlavanca Calgary

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel GonzagaNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Javad MahjoubNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
2.80
Takedown avg.
TBD
39%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.10
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gabriel GonzagaJavad Mahjoub
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
7 (41%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Javad Mahjoub70%
Gabriel Gonzaga 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Javad Mahjoub a 70% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Javad Mahjoub enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Javad Mahjoub 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.