Gabriel Gonzaga vs Kevin Jordan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-12-0Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
42,0"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight245 lbs
Team LinkTeamUSCAA
What's at stake
Gabriel Gonzaga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kevin Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+22→ 1503
If they lose-10→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel GonzagaKevin Jordan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Gonzaga78%
Kevin Jordan 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Gonzaga a 78% favorite over Kevin Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Gabriel Gonzaga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1481, a 131-point edge.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Jordan 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.