Gabriel Gonzaga vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-12-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight203 lbs
Team LinkTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Gonzaga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-8→ 1604
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel GonzagaRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Couture78%
Gabriel Gonzaga 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 78% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1612, a 109-point edge.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.