Gabriel Gonzaga vs Shawn Jordan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-12-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
42,0"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team LinkTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Shawn Jordan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Gonzaga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-17→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel GonzagaShawn Jordan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shawn Jordan56%
Gabriel Gonzaga 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Shawn Jordan a 56% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Shawn Jordan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1612, a 28-point edge.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shawn Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Shawn Jordan 95%.
Gabriel Gonzaga and Shawn Jordan share 2 common opponents: Derrick Lewis and Matt Mitrione.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.