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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Gonzaga vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-12-0Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
42,0"Reach79,0"
264 lbsWeight244 lbs

What's at stake

Travis Browne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Gonzaga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabriel GonzagaNow 1612
If they win+15→ 1627
If they lose-9→ 1603
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+9→ 1705
If they lose-15→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
45%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
57%
Strike defense
43%
2.80
Takedown avg.
1.21
39%
Takedown accuracy
69%
67%
Takedown defense
75%
1.10
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Gabriel GonzagaTravis Browne
16001650170017502015201620172018

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (11%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Travis Browne70%
Gabriel Gonzaga 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Travis Browne a 70% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Travis Browne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1612, a 84-point edge.

Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Gabriel Gonzaga and Travis Browne share 2 common opponents: Derrick Lewis and Matt Mitrione.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2016
Derrick Lewis
LossKO/TKO · 2017
LossKO/TKO · 2014
Matt Mitrione
WinKO/TKO · 2016