Gabriel Gonzaga vs Zach Nishimwe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-12-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
42,0"Reach-
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team LinkTeamPort City Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel GonzagaZach Nishimwe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Nishimwe72%
Gabriel Gonzaga 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Nishimwe a 72% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Gonzaga's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Zach Nishimwe enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Zach Nishimwe 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.