Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Lourenço vs Shawn Jordan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Shawn Jordan
us

Shawn Jordan

“The Savage”

19-9-0HeavyweightPFL

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel LourençoNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Shawn JordanNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Gabriel LourençoShawn Jordan
1550160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
15 (79%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (16%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gabriel Lourenço and Shawn Jordan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1640), separated by just 3 points.

Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Shawn Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriel Lourenço finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shawn Jordan 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.