Gabriel Lourenço vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height7'0"
76"Reach84,5"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1689
If they lose-24→ 1641
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel LourençoStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stefan Struve60%
Gabriel Lourenço 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 60% favorite over Gabriel Lourenço in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Lourenço's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1663), separated by just 2 points.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Lourenço finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Stefan Struve carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.