Gabriel Lourenço vs Ilir Latifi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
76"Reach73"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1689
If they lose-24→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel LourençoIlir Latifi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilir Latifi55%
Gabriel Lourenço 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilir Latifi a 55% favorite over Gabriel Lourenço in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1667), separated by just 2 points.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Gabriel Lourenço finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ilir Latifi 63%.
Gabriel Lourenço carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.