Gabriel Lourenço vs Paul Buentello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel LourençoPaul Buentello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Lourenço52%
Paul Buentello 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Lourenço a 52% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Buentello's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1643), separated by just 6 points.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Gabriel Lourenço finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Paul Buentello 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.