Gabriel Santos vs Keiichiro Nakamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamEXFIGHT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
If they win+24→ 1701
If they lose-24→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel SantosKeiichiro Nakamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Santos53%
Keiichiro Nakamura 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Santos a 53% favorite over Keiichiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.
Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Gabriel Santos finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Nakamura 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.