Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Santos vs Muhammad Naimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel SantosNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.61
60%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
48%
Strike defense
45%
3.44
Takedown avg.
1.69
53%
Takedown accuracy
36%
86%
Takedown defense
68%
0.77
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Gabriel SantosMuhammad Naimov
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (15%)
4 (33%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Naimov53%
Gabriel Santos 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Naimov a 53% favorite over Gabriel Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gabriel Santos finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.