Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Santos vs Patryk Kaczmarczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record14-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRadomski Klub Taekwondo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel SantosNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Patryk KaczmarczykNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.77
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gabriel SantosPatryk Kaczmarczyk
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
5 (42%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (33%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Patryk Kaczmarczyk61%
Gabriel Santos 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patryk Kaczmarczyk a 61% favorite over Gabriel Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.

Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Patryk Kaczmarczyk enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gabriel Santos finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Patryk Kaczmarczyk 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.