Gabriel Silva vs Giovanni Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record3-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
71,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight133 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPythagore Academy Cognac
What's at stake
Gabriel Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1473
If they lose-26→ 1425
If they win+26→ 1452
If they lose-22→ 1404
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel SilvaGiovanni Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giovanni Fernandez53%
Gabriel Silva 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Giovanni Fernandez a 53% favorite over Gabriel Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Silva's way (46%).
Gabriel Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1451 to 1426, a 25-point edge.
Gabriel Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Giovanni Fernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.