Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Silva vs Junior Hernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gabriel Silva
br

Gabriel Silva

“Gabito”

10-3-0FeatherweightAnderson Silva's Muay Thai College

1451Average

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"HeightTBD
71,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSingpatong Muay Thai & MMA

What's at stake

Junior Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabriel SilvaNow 1451
If they win+25→ 1476
If they lose-23→ 1428
Junior HernandezNow 1470
If they win+23→ 1493
If they lose-25→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.30
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
35%
Strike accuracy
29%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.51
46%
Strike defense
65%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gabriel SilvaJunior Hernandez
14501500201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (33%)
6 (60%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior Hernandez57%
Gabriel Silva 43%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior Hernandez a 57% favorite over Gabriel Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Junior Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1451, a 19-point edge.

Gabriel Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Junior Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriel Silva finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Junior Hernandez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.