Gabriel Silva vs Morgan Thong
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record0-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"HeightTBD
71,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTactical Fight Team· 1555 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1475
If they lose-24→ 1427
If they win+24→ 1473
If they lose-24→ 1425
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel SilvaMorgan Thong
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morgan Thong57%
Gabriel Silva 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Thong a 57% favorite over Gabriel Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1451 vs 1449), separated by just 2 points.
Gabriel Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Morgan Thong enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva finishes 40% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.