Gabriel Silva vs Ryan Bastianelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record6-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
71,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCombat Fitness
What's at stake
Gabriel Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryan Bastianelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1474
If they lose-25→ 1426
If they win+17→ 1452
If they lose-15→ 1420
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel SilvaRyan Bastianelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Silva60%
Ryan Bastianelli 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Silva a 60% favorite over Ryan Bastianelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Gabriel Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1451 to 1435, a 16-point edge.
Gabriel Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Bastianelli enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bastianelli 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.