Gabriel Silva vs Ryan Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record13-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
71,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
Ryan Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1476
If they lose-23→ 1428
If they win+11→ 1481
If they lose-13→ 1457
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel SilvaRyan Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Silva60%
Ryan Diaz 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Silva a 60% favorite over Ryan Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Diaz's way (47%).
Ryan Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1451, a 19-point edge.
Gabriel Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Diaz 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.